Scott Carson

Aero Club Remarks

"Ensuring a Thriving Aviation Industry:  Our Challenges and Opportunities"

October 26, 2007—Washington, DC

 

 

My friends and colleagues—good afternoon.  I am honored to be here.   Few organizations in the world have the aviation heritage of this wonderful organization.

 

My father, as many of you know was a test pilot at Boeing, and aviation has been a part of my life from the beginning.  And I am lucky to count Bill Boeing Jr. as a friend.  It is a genuine thrill to participate in an Aero Club luncheon.

 

But this is about much more than our history, as wonderful as it is.  The Aero Club – and all of us – is about the promise of tomorrow – and making sure tomorrow’s promises become reality by solving today’s challenges.

 

In preparing for today, I noticed that last month’s speaker was our good friend Marion Blakey, and that next month’s speaker is Giovanni Bisignani of IATA.

I am honored to be in such great company of true leaders of global aviation, and I applaud the Aero Club for bringing us together on a regular basis to share these important perspectives for our industry.

 

It is great to see many familiar faces, and also make some new friends as well.  It is a wonderful industry that we share…one worthy of celebrating when we get together.  However, it is also an industry that is facing increasing demands and challenges. We face crucial questions, and our answers will help define this industry for the 21st century.  Now, I can’t speak for everyone, but I personally find that dialogue to be very exciting and inspiring. We all know what’s at stake as we join together to meet these challenges.  Air transportation is at the core of America’s economic growth, national security and global competitiveness.  Civil aviation activity contributes more than $640 billion annually to our economy. That’s 5.4 percent of our gross domestic product.

Aviation and aviation-related industries are responsible for 11 million jobs in the United States and provide America’s largest source of manufactured exports. Air transportation also has an enormous global impact.  Eight percent of GDP growth can be attributed to air travel…air travel is absolutely essential to the global economy in which we live.

 

Today, I’d like to share my perspective on a couple of key challenges and opportunities we--as an industry--face.   Tackling these challenges will be critical to ensuring a safe, secure and efficient air transportation system.

 

The first challenge is to continue to improve upon safety.  Overall, our industry has a remarkable safety record.  Last April, IATA released its annual Safety Report, which showed that 2006 was the safest year on record.  The 2006 industry statistics show a hull loss rate of 0.65 accidents per million flights. Compare that to the rate back near the start of the jet age in 1960, when it was 14.64 per million departures.  Or even 10 years ago, when it was roughly double the 2006 levels.

 

We’ve come a long way as an industry.  But there are certain regions of the world where this level of success has not been achieved. As manufacturers, Boeing and other companies do our best to be relentlessly vigilant in ensuring the state-of-the-art integrity of our products.  But that’s not enough. The safest airplane in the world is only as safe as the way it is operated and maintained.  As an industry, we must work together in those regions of the world that are still struggling to meet our safety standards.  We must help them to understand and embrace the high level of safety achieved in other regions.  We must work in partnership to develop their infrastructure so that it can safely accommodate the rate of traffic growth they are experiencing. This is a global problem, and it cannot be handled in isolation.  Together, working globally, we must continue to help the developing regions of the world build effective plans for improving safety. Boeing is increasingly finding that the safety and security of our air transportation system affects our business and we are prepared to work with industry and government on both fronts.

 

In the area of security, we are finding many challenges.  The days of free and easy access to airport gates are long gone.  Security lines, checkpoint screening and luggage searches are an accepted part of the travel experience.  We’ve all adapted to the unfortunate realities of a post-9/11 world. Yet through it all, people want to fly.  To do business, to visit loved ones, to get away from it all—or to get back in touch.  And I hope you find that as inspiring as we do. We must balance our need for a secure air transport system without disrupting the flow of people and commerce. I believe that risk management is the best approach to achieving this balance.  It allows us to identify and implement the best security solutions, while recognizing the need to use our limited resources wisely. We should strive for the greatest total risk reduction with the least impact on operations and economics.  I would encourage Congress to really focus its efforts on those measures that truly provide the most risk reduction to the transportation system -- and not succumb to pressures to make quick decisions that do not provide a systematic approach to security.

 

As with safety and efficiency improvements, the security issue sounds a familiar and critically important refrain—it demands partnerships between government and industry. Our governments must take a leadership role in defining how we can work together to deal with the sensitive and even classified information aviation security risk management requires.

 

In addition to safety and security, we must face the challenge of making our air transportation system and our airplanes more efficient.  As our skies grow more crowded by air traffic growth, demands on the air transportation system are increasing dramatically. Congestion already has reached crisis levels in some regions.  We had more delays in the first six months of 2007 than in any year since 1995, when the government began tracking the number.  These delays are unnecessary.  They are the result of antiquated processes and systems in our existing air traffic management system. Government and industry need to accelerate efforts to implement a Next Generation Air Transportation System that will safely, securely and efficiently increase capacity.  Such capacity increases are the only effective solution to accommodating the public’s demand and our economy’s need for air travel. 

 

Current proposals to ease capacity constraints in the short term through congestion pricing or flight caps would be an admission of failure. This verdict, I might add, was used by former Transportation Secretary Norm Mineta here at the Aero Club in 2001 to describe the last time we administered such demand management approaches. Demand-management constraints only mask the need to modernize the air transport system; moreover, they are inefficient, costly and detrimental to the US economy.  While I understand that we may need a short-term workaround in certain areas of the country, demand management is not the answer.  Instead, the airlines have offered some good solutions, like using more runways and expanding route options that can help us alleviate the near-term capacity pressures that we face. I think we can all agree that the current air transportation system cannot be scaled to meet forecasted demands – there is no question about it.   And we can’t just upgrade the current system we have – we really need to transform the way the system operates. This is a big job.  It’s going to require all facets of the aviation community to come together to create the total solution.  

 

I’m proud that Boeing and Lockheed Martin have formed a strategic alliance to advance the NextGen solution – seamlessly linking ground-based systems with airborne systems.  This sort of collaboration is crucial.  The next step is to expand that collaboration to include our government partners if we are going to achieve success.

 

We have a complex road ahead of us.  We must remain focused on the need to fund and implement the technologies and operational changes necessary for NextGen, and not be diverted by short-term fixes.

 

Passing the FAA Reauthorization bill will be the first step in ensuring that we are moving forward.  Congress must commit to authorizing and funding programs and technologies that will support a transformation to NextGen.  The public is demanding it and our economic well-being depends upon it. But I’ve yet to mention the challenge that is demanding more and more attention—improved environmental performance. We have a strong environmental track record as an industry.  Over the past 40 years, we’ve reduced noise by 75%.  We’ve reduced CO2 concentrations by 70%.  We’ve virtually eliminated hydrocarbon emissions and soot.  And aviation’s carbon footprint today is limited to 2% of global CO2 emissions. But, more remains to be done.  Boeing is committed to a 25% efficiency improvement in worldwide fleet fuel use and CO2 emissions by 2020 through improvements in upgraded equipment, as well as improved carrier and airport operations.    

 

Our 787 Dreamliner is 20% more fuel efficient than comparable models and we are committed to pioneering new technologies that will improve upon these types of efficiencies. We’re leveraging our Research and Development investments on environmental improvements for future aircraft generations with an emphasis on CO2, noise and alternative fuels. For example, we are conducting the first biofuel demonstration on a commercial airplane.  This is part of our work to unlock the potential of future environmentally progressive fuels. Boeing also has partnered with airports, airlines and civil aviation authorities at various international airports to implement operational improvements that reduce noise and emissions.  Trials of these operational concepts have indicated fuel savings between 400 and 800 pounds per flight, which translates to up to 2,400 pounds of reduced CO2 emissions per arrival.

 

Boeing recognizes that the environmental efficiencies must be achieved globally in order to realize their full potential. To that end, Boeing is proud to be a participant in the joint Atlantic Interoperability Initiative to Reduce Emissions between the FAA and the European Commission, which we announced last year at the Paris Air Show.  This partnership is an important step in improving our air traffic management systems, and it is an important step in reducing carbon emissions and airplane noise levels. However, as an airplane manufacturer, we recognize that many of the environmental efficiencies that we have accomplished will not be achieved if the airplanes we build cannot operate efficiently in the airspace system.  For instance, even the most fuel-efficient airplane can’t achieve its highest fuel efficiency if it is forced to fly indirect routes and to circle overhead waiting to land.  Therefore, it is crucial that we do everything in our power to make NextGen a reality.

 

The challenges before us to provide a safe, secure and efficient air transportation system are just that…they are challenges.  But, they are also real opportunities for us to define air transportation in the 21st century.  We at Boeing are up for the challenge and I am convinced that together—with industry, with government-- we can succeed.

 

In closing, it is truly an honor to participate in the Aero Club luncheon – an activity whose roots go has deep as our industry itself. Our ancestors in aviation started a wonderful journey. I am honored and grateful to be sharing it with you.  Let’s do everything we can to leave tomorrow’s leaders with a healthy, thriving and exciting aviation industry.

 

Thank you and I’d be happy to take any questions.